A shocking scenario is shaking the crypto market: the possibility of a 75% Bitcoin collapse, suggested by a well-known trading figure. While this hypothesis reawakens memories of the brutal correction of 2022, several analysts are putting the threat into perspective, highlighting very different fundamentals.
A drop comparable to 2022?
- The scenario projects a Bitcoin plunge to around $26,000, a level that would represent a correction of more than 75% from current highs.
- This level echoes the previous crash, when Bitcoin fell from nearly $70,000 to $16,000 in one year, marking one of the most violent reversals in the market.
Disagreements among analysts
- Some experts believe such a decline is unlikely, given the current economic environment and the increased robustness of the crypto markets.
- Others point out that the factors that led to the 2022 crash—scandals, over-indebtedness, and leverage—are no longer present on the same scale today.
Opportunities and Risks of This Extreme Scenario
Opportunities:
- Strategic Preparation: The mere mention of such a crash pushes investors to review their risk management and safety thresholds.
- Return to Attractive Valuations: A major pullback would provide an entry window for long-term investors looking to strengthen their positions.
Risks:
- Market Psychosis: The spread of extreme scenarios could cause premature panic and precipitate massive sell-offs.
- Investor Polarization: A market divided between extreme pessimists and convinced bulls becomes more unstable and prone to sudden movements.
Conclusion
The possibility of a Bitcoin crash of -75% raises both concern and skepticism. While risk can never be ruled out in such a volatile market, current conditions seem far removed from such a scenario. Still, this hypothesis serves as a reminder of a fundamental truth: in crypto, caution remains a strategy, not a weakness.
